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h1
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pre
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</head>

<body lang=DE style='tab-interval:36.0pt;word-wrap:break-word'>

<div class=WordSection1>

<p class=MsoNormal><i><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Annex
for the scientific article <o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>How
to convince in a televised debate: the application of machine learning to
analyze why viewers changed their winner perception during the 2021 German
chancellor <span class=GramE>discussion</span><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><i><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>published
in Humanities and Social Sciences Communications</span></i><b><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-ansi-language:DE'>Felix Ettensperger*, <o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-ansi-language:DE'>Thomas Waldvogel, <o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-ansi-language:DE'>Uwe Wagschal, <o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Samuel
Weishaupt<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Felix
Ettensperger, Albert-Ludwigs-University, Department of Political Science, <span
class=SpellE>Werthmannstra�e</span> 12, 79098 Freiburg,
felix.ettensperger@politik.uni-freiburg.de.<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Thomas
Waldvogel, Albert-Ludwigs-University, Department of Political Science, <span
class=SpellE>Werthmannstra�e</span> 12, 79098 Freiburg,
thomas.waldvogel@politik.uni-freiburg.de.<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Uwe
Wagschal, Albert-Ludwigs-University, Department of Political <span class=GramE>Science,
<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>��</span></span><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�</span><span class=SpellE>Werthmannstra�e</span> 12,
79098 Freiburg, uwe.wagschal@politik.uni-freiburg.de.<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Samuel
Weishaupt, Albert-Ludwigs-University, Freiburg, Institute of Computer Science,
Georges K�hler Allee, Building 51, 79110 Freiburg,
weishaus@informatik.uni-freiburg.de.<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>*<span
class=GramE>handling</span> author<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraph style='text-indent:-18.0pt;mso-list:l1 level1 lfo1'><![if !supportLists]><b><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><span style='mso-list:Ignore'>1.<span
style='font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span></b><![endif]><b><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Handling
online streamer data <o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Including
viewers using digital content streaming is a contentious topic in
Real-Time-Response Research. Streamers can individually pause streams or
experience transfer delays, which might distort response patterns. Often, streamers
are getting excluded beforehand to avoid dealing with these distortions. This
comes at a heavy price, because larger and larger proportions of data each year
thus become unusable for our prediction models. In our sample, only 2.630
participants of 4.613 otherwise valid measurements (only ~57% of the valid
sample) responded that they were using a normal Cable or Satellite TV
connection to watch the debate. Approximately 40 % of all participants watched
the debate via streaming devices. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>We
argue that our applied machine learning approach can solve parts of this uncertainty
problem created by streaming: By measuring the overall performance of the RF
prediction, we can evaluate if the models including streaming data are
performing better or worse in predicting win perception change, compared to models
build only on TV viewer data. Under high noise situations (if <span
class=GramE>e.g.</span> a lot of streamers would be providing distorted,
misleading or wrongly coded data) we would expect our full models to decrease
in performance. On the other hand, if our model keeps improving and can be
trained better while including all cases, we can assume that including these
streamers is providing substantially more valid information than noise.
Additionally, we can check the variable importance measures of all variables
and can evaluate if meaningful distortions become visible in the VIMs patterns
(Table A3 and A4). <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>To
check streaming data quality, we completely excluded all streamer data from the
sample and <span style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>evaluate the TV
watcher results separately in Appendix section 2, Table A1, A2, figures A1 and
A2).<o:p></o:p></span></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Furthermore, online streamers are on average
more progressive, <span class=GramE>younger</span> and higher educated. Thus,
our TV viewer sample also serves as a robustness check using a more
representative sample.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraph style='text-indent:-18.0pt;mso-list:l1 level1 lfo1'><![if !supportLists]><b><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><span style='mso-list:Ignore'>2.<span
style='font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span></b><![endif]><b><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>RF
Model Results of exclusively TV viewers (streaming participants excluded)<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Table A1: RF Model predicting
change to Baerbock.<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<div style='mso-element:para-border-div;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt'>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;
mso-border-bottom-alt:.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>������������������������� </span>Sample size: 2630<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>����������� </span>Frequency of class labels: 2033,
597<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>��������������������� </span>Number of trees: 1250<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>����������� </span>Forest terminal node size: 1<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>������� </span>Average no. of terminal nodes: 155.0392<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>## No. of
variables tried at each split: 250<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�������������� </span>Total no. of variables: 314<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>������� </span>Resampling used to grow trees: <span
class=SpellE>swor</span><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>���� </span>Resample size used to grow trees: 1662<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>������������� </span><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>���������������</span>Analysis: RF-C<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>������������������������������ </span>Family: class<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>���������������������� </span>Splitting rule: <span
class=SpellE>gini</span> *random*<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>������� </span>Number of random split points: 30<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�������������� </span>Normalized brier score: 39.36 <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>����������������������������� </span><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>����</span>AUC: 90.91 <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�������������������������� </span>Error rate: 0.14,
0.07, 0.36<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt'><span lang=EN-US
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman"'>## <o:p></o:p></span></p>

</div>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt'><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt'><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt'><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt'><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<div style='mso-element:para-border-div;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt'>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;
mso-border-bottom-alt:.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>## Confusion
matrix:<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>## <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>���������� </span>predicted<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�� </span>observed<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>���
</span>0<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�� </span>1 <span class=SpellE><span
class=GramE>class.error</span></span><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>��������� </span>0 1885 148<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>����� </span>0.0728<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>��������� </span><span class=GramE>1<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>� </span>216</span> 381<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>����� </span>0.3618<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>## <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt'><span lang=EN-US
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman"'>#<span class=GramE>#<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>� </span>Overall</span>
error rate: 13.88%<o:p></o:p></span></p>

</div>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Figure A1 � ROCAUC of Baerbock
results without streamers.<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shapetype id="_x0000_t75" coordsize="21600,21600"
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 mso-wrap-distance-left:9pt;mso-wrap-distance-top:0;mso-wrap-distance-right:9pt;
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</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=593 height=476
src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image002.jpg"
align=left hspace=12 v:shapes="Grafik_x0020_1"><![endif]><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Table A2: RF Model predicting
change to Laschet.<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<div style='mso-element:para-border-div;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt'>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;
mso-border-bottom-alt:.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>������������������������� </span>Sample size: 2630<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>����������� </span>Frequency of class labels: 2341,
289<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>���������� </span><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�����������</span>Number of trees: 1250<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>����������� </span>Forest terminal node size: 1<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>������� </span>Average no. of terminal nodes: 72.8616<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>## No. of
variables tried at each split: 250<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�������������� </span>Total no. of variables: 314<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>������� </span>Resampling used to grow trees: <span
class=SpellE>swor</span><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>���� </span>Resample size used to grow trees: 1662<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>���������������������������� </span>Analysis: RF-C<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>������������������������������ </span>Family: class<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>���������������������� </span>Splitting rule: <span
class=SpellE>gini</span> *random*<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>������� </span>Number of random split points: 30<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�������������� </span>Normalized brier score: 15.38 <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>��������������������������������� </span>AUC: 96.03 <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�������������������������� </span>Error rate: 0.05,
0.03, 0.24<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>## <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>## Confusion
matrix:<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>## <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>���������� </span>predicted<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�� </span>observed<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>���
</span>0<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�� </span>1 <span class=SpellE><span
class=GramE>class.error</span></span><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>��������� </span>0 <span class=GramE>2281<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>� </span>60</span><span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�����
</span>0.0256<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>##<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>��������� </span>1<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>��
</span>70 219<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>����� </span>0.2422<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>## <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;tab-stops:45.8pt 91.6pt 137.4pt 183.2pt 229.0pt 274.8pt 320.6pt 366.4pt 412.2pt 458.0pt 503.8pt 549.6pt 595.4pt 641.2pt 687.0pt 732.8pt;
border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt'><span lang=EN-US
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman"'>#<span class=GramE>#<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�
</span>Overall</span> error rate: 4.94%<o:p></o:p></span></p>

</div>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Figure A2 � ROCAUC of Laschet
results without streamers.<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-no-proof:yes'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape id="_x0000_i1035" type="#_x0000_t75"
 style='width:420.75pt;height:289.5pt;visibility:visible;mso-wrap-style:square'>
 <v:imagedata src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image003.png"
  o:title=""/>
</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=561 height=386
src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image004.jpg"
v:shapes="_x0000_i1035"><![endif]></span><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Evaluating
both iterations of predicting change to Baerbock and change to Laschet without
streaming viewers provides us with valuable feedback for our research and for
RTR research in general:<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Both
models using TV-only data decrease in overall forecasting quality. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>In
the Baerbock-Model we experience a drop of overall prediction quality from 87.63
% to 86.12%. The increase in the class error from 26% to 36% is particularly
pronounced in the prediction of true positive cases of switching to Baerbock. In
the Laschet-Model we experience a drop of prediction quality from 95.99 % to 95.06
%. The <span class=SpellE>class.error</span> in correctly predicting positives is
however marginally better in the TV-only model, with 24.2 % versus 24.9 % from
the full model.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>We
can deduct that including streamers from the data will provide us overall with more
useful information to better train the algorithm. For the purpose of this
research, this means that our variable importance measures are more reliable
with this additional data included.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Especially
for evaluating change to Baerbock, leaving out streamers would compromise our
models and reduce forecasting quality significantly. This is in line with our
observation that viewer susceptible to change to Baerbock were more likely to
be between age 20-39 (figure 3, main text) and thus more likely to use
streaming technology overall.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>For
viewers that changed their position to Laschet, however, the difference between
both iterations is very close. But the full data does perform reliably better
in predicting true negatives and only slightly worse in true positives. This candidate
dependent effect of excluding streamers is an interesting finding by itself. We
see that excluding streamers introduces an age bias into our sample and that
not all candidates are affected equally by this intervention.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>In
the next tables, we present the top 20 variables of feature importance for the
TV-only models.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraph style='text-indent:-18.0pt;mso-list:l1 level1 lfo1'><![if !supportLists]><b><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><span style='mso-list:Ignore'>3.<span
style='font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span></b><![endif]><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�</span><b>RF Model Feature importance of TV Viewers
only<o:p></o:p></b></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Table
A3: Top-20 feature importance of change to Bearbock (tv-only).<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<table class=MsoNormalTable border=0 cellpadding=0 style='mso-cellspacing:1.5pt;
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<p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Table
A4: Top-20 feature importance of change to Laschet (tv-only).<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

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   <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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   line-height:normal'><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:
   "Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>all<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
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   <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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   line-height:normal'><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:
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   <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
   <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
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   "Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>1<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
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 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:1'>
  <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
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  <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
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  <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
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  <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:
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  <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  </td>
  <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>0.0000399<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>-0.0006131<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>0.0059445<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:20;mso-yfti-lastrow:yes'>
  <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>V96<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>0.0001323<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>-0.0002787<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>0.0054930<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
</table>

<p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Evaluating
the feature importance values of the TV-only models in comparison to the main
results, we conclude that the relevant top 20 variables are mostly identical to
the full iterations with 4,613 participants. We do find changes in the ranking
of individual variables. But we would expect a certain amount of rank shuffling
of variables due to the change in average age in both observational groups. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>We
do not find evidence in our main results for speaking sections that have been systematically
distorted due to lag or streaming pauses. We would typically expect high
feature importance sections to systematically radiate into their surrounding temporal
neighborhood, finding <span class=GramE>e.g.</span> high values for V204 and
V205 if V203 was an important moment and viewers are giving delayed feedback.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>As
we are only interpreting the most important features for change, this radiation
appears to have not affected our evaluation.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Streaming
certainly affects the validity of RTR results in individual cases, and we urge
researchers to use tests and precautions to guard against these effects. Nonetheless,
we cannot find systematic distortions between our tv-only and the complete
sample that would merit the exclusion of so many valuable data points that
improve our overall models.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraph style='text-indent:-18.0pt;mso-list:l1 level1 lfo1'><a
name="_Hlk90029238"><![if !supportLists]><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:
12.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman"'><span style='mso-list:Ignore'>4.<span style='font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
</span></span></span></b><![endif]><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Potential Variable Contamination</span></b></a><b><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>We
use pre-debate winner estimation as a learning variable. An algorithm, like a
human expert, can only reliably estimate if the debate induces a change of
winner estimation for an individual viewer if the previous position of the
viewer is known. If the pre-debate winner estimation would be unknown, the
algorithm, like a human expert, would not be able to reliably tell if the RTR
response pattern and the pre-debate winner response pattern are consistent or
conflicting with each other. But, if pre-debate winner choice and the RTR
agreement pattern are highly incompatible, the viewer is more likely to
reconsider and change his pre-debate choices. We tested this in various
iterations, and in different models without pre-debate winner as learning feature,
the algorithm does perform poorly. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>In
regression-based settings including this variable could raise questions about
the validity of the test due to the contamination of the dependent variable (the
dependent variable is a combined result of the pre-debate and post-debate
evaluation). This is usually referred to as dependent-variable contamination.
In our machine-learning setting, this does not constitute a problem, for two
main reasons: <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>First,
we are not interested in how much more this pre-debate variable affects the
prediction quality in relation to the other variables. It is sufficient to know
that this variable is crucial for allowing good predictions. We do not evaluate
the difference between this potentially contaminated variable compared to the
others, so we do not need to consider the effect of containment on this
individual variable in the analysis. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Secondly,
the way machine learning features are included, and their importance is measured
fundamentally different compared to the logic of regressions, where a unified
mathematical model is constructed from all variables. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Variable
importance in ML is measured using an Out-of-bag approach (Hastie et al. 2009:
593) by stepwise exclusion of features. The algorithm is running different
iterations of the model excluding each individual variable and evaluating the
difference in predictive accuracy of each incomplete model compared to the
complete model. Including pre-debate winner estimation thus cannot contaminate
the other variables� importance measures in the same way this containment could
distort model results in a regression model. We thus can assume that
contamination between the pre-debate winner variable and the winner-change
variable is not an issue for the interpretation of all the remaining features
and their relative importance compared to the other elements in the model.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraph style='text-indent:-18.0pt;mso-list:l1 level1 lfo1'><![if !supportLists]><b><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><span style='mso-list:Ignore'>5.<span
style='font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span></b><![endif]><b><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Transcript
of speaking moments<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>The
following list of speaking moments is presented in the German original version
and an English translation generated by a second-generation machine-learning
based translation software. The English translation was further checked by an
English literature expert to make sure that all translations are as truthfully
to the original version as possible.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:
107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:
107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Table A5 - Speaking sections of
interest.<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<table class=MsoTableGrid border=1 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0
 style='border-collapse:collapse;border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
 mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-padding-alt:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes'>
  <td width=75 valign=top style='width:56.45pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Speaking section<span
  style='mso-spacerun:yes'>� </span><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=255 valign=top style='width:191.4pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-left:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:
  solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>original debate
  transcript - German<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>��� </span></span></b><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=274 valign=top style='width:205.25pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-left:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:
  solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>English language
  translation<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:1'>
  <td width=75 valign=top style='width:56.45pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>V 204<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=255 valign=top style='width:191.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>&quot;Sie
  haben gefragt, was ist das mit dem Gesetz der <span class=GramE>Bundesregierung</span>
  nachdem das Bundesverfassungsgericht ja gesagt hat: &quot;Liebe Gro�e
  Koalition, so geht das nicht weiter. Ihr gef�hrdet die Freiheit unserer
  Kinder. Haben Sie gesagt: OK, wir haben verstanden. Aber was war die einzige
  Ma�nahme, die Sie gemacht haben? Sie haben f�r in 25 Jahren beschlossen, dann
  sollten wir beim Klimaschutz weiter sein, aber f�r hier und heute keine
  Antwort gegeben.&quot; [AB]</span><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif'><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=274 valign=top style='width:205.25pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>You asked, what is it
  with the law of the Federal Government after the Federal Constitutional Court
  has said yes: &quot;Dear Grand Coalition, this can't go on. You are
  endangering the freedom of our children. You did say: OK, we understand. But
  what was the only measure you took? You decided that in 25 years we should be
  further advanced in climate <span class=GramE>protection, but</span> gave no
  answer for here and now.<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>[AB]</span><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:2'>
  <td width=75 valign=top style='width:56.45pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>V 261<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=255 valign=top style='width:191.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>&quot;Fakt
  ist, dass wir heute ein modernes Einwanderungsgesetz haben. Insofern habe ich
  gar nicht verstanden, weshalb Sie gesagt haben, wir seien dagegen. Wir haben
  es. Und wir m�ssen um qualifizierte Zuwanderung in der Welt werben. Dazu
  brauchen wir ein neues <span class=GramE>Klima</span> das signalisiert, wir
  laden jeden ein, der einen Beitrag leisten kann, nach Deutschland zu kommen.
  Wir sind gegen eine Einwanderung in die Sozialsysteme. Sondern es geht darum,
  qualifizierte Einwanderung nach Deutschland besser m�glich zu machen als das
  heute der Fall ist. </span><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>[AL]<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=274 valign=top style='width:205.25pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>The fact is that today
  we have a modern immigration law. In that respect, I didn't understand at all
  why you said we were against it. We have it. | And we <span class=GramE>have
  to</span> solicit qualified immigration in the world. To do that, we need a
  new climate that signals that we invite everyone who can <span class=GramE>make
  a contribution</span> to come to Germany. We are against immigration into the
  social systems. Instead, we need to make qualified immigration to Germany
  more possible than it is today. </span></b><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-ansi-language:DE'>[AL]</span><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:3'>
  <td width=75 valign=top style='width:56.45pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>V157<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=255 valign=top style='width:191.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><span
  style='mso-bidi-font-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-ansi-language:DE'>&quot;Und das ist die eigentlich gro�e Leistung. Nicht
  mit Verboten und diesem und jenem. Sondern Tempo machen bei Planung und
  Genehmigung. Die Trassen schneller bauen um den regenerativen Strom vom
  Norden in den S�den und in die Industrieregionen zu bringen und gleichzeitig
  unsere Wirtschaft, die Stahlindustrie, die Zementindustrie, die
  Chemieindustrie umzugestalten, damit sie klimaneutral wirtschaften kann. Und
  das muss man k�nnen. Das ist keine Frage von Spr�chen, sondern wir man
  Transformation in unserem Land leistet.&quot; [AL]<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=274 valign=top style='width:205.25pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><a
  name="_Hlk87267154"><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>And
  that is actually the great achievement. Not with bans and this and that. But
  speeding up the planning and approval process. Building the lines faster to
  bring renewable electricity from the north to the south and to the industrial
  regions, and at the same time transforming our economy, the steel industry,
  the cement industry, the chemical industry, so that they can operate in a
  climate-neutral way. And you have to be able to do that. This is not a
  question of slogans, but of how to achieve transformation in our country. </span></b></a><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>[AL]</span><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:4'>
  <td width=75 valign=top style='width:56.45pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>V207<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=255 valign=top style='width:191.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><span
  style='mso-bidi-font-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-ansi-language:DE'>&quot;Und Sie kommen ja dann immer mit ihren
  Schlagworten von Verboten. Jedes Verbot ist auch ein Innovationstreiber. Das
  sehen wir doch jetzt bei den deutschen Automobilherstellern. Wo ich nicht
  erst im Wahlkampf so wie Sie <o:p></o:p></span></p>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><span
  style='mso-bidi-font-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-ansi-language:DE'>[<span class=SpellE>AL:&quot;Die</span> tun es doch
  auch ohne Verbot&quot;] vorbeigeschaut habe. Sondern in den letzten 8 Jahren,
  in denen ich Wirtschafts- und Klimapolitik mache, ist ganz klar gewesen, die
  Zukunft im Individualverkehr ist Elektromotor. Und deswegen braucht es vor
  2030, muss daf�r gesorgt werden, dass dann nur noch emissionsfreie Fahrzeuge
  zugelassen werden.&quot; [AB]<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><span
  style='mso-bidi-font-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-ansi-language:DE'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=274 valign=top style='width:205.25pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>&quot;<a
  name="_Hlk87268035">And then you always come up with your slogans about bans.
  Every ban is also an innovation driver. We can see that now with the German
  car manufacturers. Where I was not only in the election campaign like you. <o:p></o:p></a></span></b></p>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><span
  style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk87268035'><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif'>[AL: &quot;They are doing it even without a
  ban&quot;]. But in the last 8 years, in which I have been making economic and
  climate policy, it has been very clear that the future in individual
  transport is the electric motor. And therefore, before 2030, it must be
  ensured that only emission-free vehicles will then be registered.&quot; [AB]</span></b></span><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:5'>
  <td width=75 valign=top style='width:56.45pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>V137</span></b><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=255 valign=top style='width:191.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>&quot;Aber
  die Frage, was will ich anders machen: Zukunftsthemen in das
  Bundeskanzlerinnenamt integrieren, dass es da eine zentrale Koordinierung
  gibt. Da braucht man nicht. Da braucht man kein eigenes Ministerium f�r,
  sondern wir brauchen ja Digitalisierung in allen Bereichen, der Justiz zum
  Beispiel. Da konkreter Vorschlag von meiner Partei, dass wir ein
  Bund-L�nder-Programm haben, um zur Digitalisierung der Justiz. Wir erleben
  da, dass wir viele Straftaten �berhaupt nicht vern�nftig
  bundesl�nder�bergreifend erfassen k�nnen, weil alles, wie Sie gesagt haben
  Frau Illner, per Fax hin und her geht.&quot; [AB]<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=274 valign=top style='width:205.25pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><a
  name="_Hlk87268221"><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>But
  the question, what do I want to do differently? Integrate the future issues
  into the Chancellor's Office, that there is central coordination there. You
  don't need� You don't need a separate ministry for that, but we do need
  digitization in all areas, the justice system, for example. My party has made
  a concrete proposal that we have a federal-state program to digitize the
  judiciary. We're seeing that we can't even record many crimes sensibly across
  the federal states because, as you said, Ms. Illner, everything goes back and
  forth by fax. </span></b></a><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-ansi-language:DE'>[AB]</span><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:6'>
  <td width=75 valign=top style='width:56.45pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>V288<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=255 valign=top style='width:191.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>�Liebe
  Zuschauerinnen und Zuschauer, wir drei haben jetzt 90 Minuten diskutiert,
  aber es geht nicht um uns. Es geht um sie, es geht um Vertrauen. Ich vertraue
  unserem Land, unseren Arbeitnehmerinnen und Arbeitnehmern, den Unternehmen,
  den Gewerkschaften, den Forscherinnen und Wissenschaftlern, dass sie unser
  Land stark machen k�nnen.&quot; [AL]<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=274 valign=top style='width:205.25pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><a
  name="_Hlk87274371"><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>�Dear
  viewers, the three of us have now discussed for 90 minutes, but it's not
  about us. It is about </span></b></a><span class=GramE><span
  style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk87274371'><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif'>you,</span></b></span></span><span style='mso-bookmark:
  _Hlk87274371'><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>
  it is about trust. I trust our country, our workers, the companies, the
  unions, the researchers, that they can make our country strong.� <o:p></o:p></span></b></span></p>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><span
  style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk87274371'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-ansi-language:DE'>[AL]</span></span><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif'><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:7'>
  <td width=75 valign=top style='width:56.45pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>V153</span></b><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=255 valign=top style='width:191.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>&quot;Fakt
  ist, seit den 90er Jahren wissen wir von Weltklimaereignissen. Wir wissen
  seit Monaten, von <span class=SpellE>Fridays</span> <span class=SpellE>for</span>
  <span class=GramE>Future</span> die auf der Stra�e sind, dass etwas passieren
  muss. Wir sehen Unwetterkatastrophen �berall in der Welt. Wir sehen Br�nde
  und merken, wie das Klima sich ver�ndert. Und deshalb ist nicht erst in dem
  Moment, wo wir auch selbst mal erwischt sind, der Zeitpunkt f�r eine Politik�nderung
  da. Die findet statt. Sie <span class=GramE>findet �brigens</span> in der
  falschen Priorit�t statt. Wenn das Thema so wichtig ist, wie ich es halte,
  war die Reihenfolge in Deutschland falsch. Zuerst aus der Kernenergie
  auszusteigen und dann aus der Kohle. Das ist jetzt Geschichte. Aber der Weg
  war falsch.&quot; [AL]<b><o:p></o:p></b></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=274 valign=top style='width:205.25pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><a
  name="_Hlk87275369"><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>�The
  fact is, we've known about world climate events since the 90s. We've known
  for months, from Fridays for Future being on the streets, that something </span></b></a><span
  class=GramE><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk87275369'><b><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>has to</span></b></span></span><span
  style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk87275369'><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif'> happen. We see severe weather disasters all over
  the world. We see fires and we notice how the climate is changing. And that's
  why it's not just when we're caught out ourselves that the time for policy
  change is here. It is happening. It's taking place in the wrong priority, by
  the way. If the issue is as important as I think it is, the order in Germany
  was wrong. Getting out of nuclear power first, and then out of coal. </span></b></span><span
  style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk87275369'><span class=SpellE><b><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>That's</span></b></span></span><span
  style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk87275369'><b><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-ansi-language:DE'> <span class=SpellE>history</span> <span class=SpellE>now</span>.
  But <span class=SpellE>the</span> <span class=SpellE>path</span> was <span
  class=SpellE>wrong</span>.&quot; </span></b></span><span style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>[AL]<b><o:p></o:p></b></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:8'>
  <td width=75 valign=top style='width:56.45pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>V42<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=255 valign=top style='width:191.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>&quot;Und
  Sie sagen, wir haben immer mehr Mitarbeiter. Aber es wird immer weniger
  aufgekl�rt. Und es wird so wenig bei der Geldw�sche aufgekl�rt, dass ein
  Staatsanwalt sagt: Ich brauch hier weitere Informationen. Und dann ein
  Richter verf�gt, dass eine solche Untersuchung stattfinden kann. Und deshalb
  Herr Scholz war das unangemessen, dass Sie abf�llig �ber die Justiz geredet
  haben. Das ist unangemessen. Das machen Populisten in anderen L�ndern. Wenn
  die kommen, m�ssen Sie sagen: Hier ich lege alles offen. Und denen nicht
  vorschreiben, wie sie zu arbeiten haben. Und wenn es der eine Fall jetzt w�re,
  wo sie keine Verantwortung �bernehmen wollen f�r den nachgeordneten <span
  class=GramE>Bereich</span> den Sie haben. Es ist <span class=GramE>ja nicht</span>
  der erste Fall. Bei Wirecard haben Millionen Kleinanleger viel, viel Geld
  verloren, weil Sie nicht die Aufsicht nicht richtig ausgerichtet haben, die
  das h�tte �berpr�fen m�ssen. Daf�r tragen Sie Verantwortung. Nicht Sie
  pers�nlich, weil Sie da am Schreibtisch sitzen und Aufsicht �ben. Aber als
  Minister haben Sie wie jeder andere Fachminister auch daf�r zu sorgen, dass
  die Aufsichtsbeh�rde, die es gibt, ihren Job macht. Und wenn nicht haben Sie
  einzugreifen.&quot; [AL]<b><o:p></o:p></b></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=274 valign=top style='width:205.25pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><a
  name="_Hlk87278014"><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>�And
  you say we have more and more employees. But less and less is being cleared
  up. And so little is being cleared up in money laundering that a prosecutor
  says, I need more information here. And then a judge decrees that such an
  investigation can take place. And that's why, Mr. Scholz, it was
  inappropriate for you to talk disparagingly about the judiciary. That is
  inappropriate. That's what populists do in other countries. When they come, you
  have to say: Here, I'll disclose everything. And don't tell them how to work.
  And if it were the one case now where they don't want to take responsibility
  for the subordinate area that you have. It's not the first case, after all.
  In the case of </span></b></a><span class=SpellE><span style='mso-bookmark:
  _Hlk87278014'><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Wirecard</span></b></span></span><span
  style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk87278014'><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif'>, millions of small investors lost a lot of money
  because you did not properly align the supervisory authority, which should
  have checked this. You bear responsibility for that. Not you personally,
  because you are sitting at your desk and exercising supervision. But as a
  minister, like any other minister, you <span class=GramE>have to</span> make
  sure that the supervisory authority that exists does its job. </span></b></span><span
  style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk87278014'><b><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-ansi-language:DE'>And <span class=SpellE>if</span> not, <span
  class=SpellE>you</span> <span class=SpellE>have</span> <span class=SpellE>to</span>
  <span class=SpellE>intervene</span>.&quot; </span></b></span><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>[AL]<b><o:p></o:p></b></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:9'>
  <td width=75 valign=top style='width:56.45pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>V17<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=255 valign=top style='width:191.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>Nein, wir
  erleben jetzt ja immer absurdere Theaterauff�hrungen. Vor kurzem wurde Herr
  Lindner aufgefordert auszuschlie�en, dass er mit der SPD und den Gr�nen
  koaliert. Das hat <span class=GramE>vielleicht irgendwie</span> deutlich
  gemacht, dass wir auf dem Boden der Dinge bleiben sollten. Die B�rgerinnen
  und B�rger entscheiden wie die Wahl ausgeht. Ich werbe f�r ein sehr <span
  class=SpellE>sehr</span> starkes Mandat f�r die SPD. [OS]<b><o:p></o:p></b></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=274 valign=top style='width:205.25pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><a
  name="_Hlk87279655"><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>No,
  we are now witnessing increasingly absurd theatrical performances. Recently,
  Mr. Lindner was asked to rule out forming a coalition with the SPD and the
  Greens. That has perhaps somehow made it clear that we should keep our feet
  on the ground. The citizens decide how the election turns out. I am
  campaigning for a very </span></b></a><span class=SpellE><span
  style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk87279655'><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif'>very</span></b></span></span><span style='mso-bookmark:
  _Hlk87279655'><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>
  strong mandate for the SPD. </span></b></span><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>[OS]<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:10'>
  <td width=75 valign=top style='width:56.45pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>V244<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=255 valign=top style='width:191.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><span
  style='mso-bidi-font-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-ansi-language:DE'>&quot;Es ist nicht unbezahlbar. Das ist aus meiner
  Sicht eine M�r. Und deshalb m�chte ich das auch gerne begr�nden, wenn Sie mir
  <span class=GramE>das gestatten</span>. Erstens, wir in den 90er viele
  Expertinnen und Experten geh�rt. Die haben uns erz�hlt, das wird alles nix
  werden mit der Rente. Das <span class=GramE>klappt</span> alles nicht mehr.
  Sie haben uns f�r diese Zeit vorhergesagt, dass wir sehr hohe Beitr�ge zahlen
  werden. Sie haben uns auch gesagt, dass wir viel weniger Arbeitnehmerinnen
  und Arbeitnehmer haben werden. Das Gegenteil ist eingetreten. Wir zahlen
  heute geringere Beitr�ge als zu Zeit von Helmut Kohl. Und wir sind jetzt in
  einer Situation, wo wir etwa 6 Millionen Arbeitnehmerinnen und Arbeitnehmer
  mehr haben, die in die Rentenkasse einzahlen. Und deshalb ist die Antwort f�r
  die Zukunft auch, dass wir sicherstellen m�ssen, dass m�glichst viele eine
  gute Besch�ftigung haben. Wenn wir voran kommen w�rden zum Beispiel bei den
  Besch�ftigungsm�glichkeiten und -chancen von Frauen, dann w�re das ein ganz <span
  class=SpellE>ganz</span> gro�er Fortschritt und w�rde die f�r die Frauen gut
  sein und f�r die Rente. Wenn jemand, der mit 56 seinen Job verliert eine
  plausible Annahme haben kann, dass er auch wieder einen guten neuen Job
  findet, dann w�rde das auch schon viel bringen.&quot; [OS] <o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=274 valign=top style='width:205.25pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>&quot;It is not
  unaffordable. That is a fairy tale from my point of view. And that is why I
  would like to justify it, if you will allow me. Firstly, we heard many
  experts in the 90s. They told us that there would be no pension. It won't
  work <span class=SpellE>any more</span>. They predicted that we would pay
  very high contributions during this period. They also told us that we would
  have far fewer workers. The opposite has happened. We are paying lower
  contributions today than when Helmut Kohl was in power. And we are now in a
  situation where we have about 6 million more workers paying into the pension
  fund. And <span class=GramE>therefore</span> the answer for the future is
  also that we have to make sure that as many as possible have good employment.
  If we could make progress, for example, on employment opportunities for
  women, then that would be a very big step forward and would be good for women
  and for pensions. If someone who loses their job at 56 can have a plausible
  assumption that they will also find a good new job again, then that would
  also already bring a lot.&quot; [OS] <o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:11'>
  <td width=75 valign=top style='width:56.45pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>V225<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=255 valign=top style='width:191.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><span
  style='mso-bidi-font-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-ansi-language:DE'>�Ich glaube, dass wir zwei Dinge gleichzeitig anpacken
  m�ssen: Das eine ist mehr Wohnungen zu bauen. Wir haben es in Deutschland
  schon Mal geschafft 800.000 Wohnungen in einem Jahr zu bauen. Das war 1973.
  Da werden wir es wohl jetzt schaffen, jedes Jahr 400.000 Wohnungen zu bauen,
  das sind 100.000 mehr als jetzt. Und darunter m�ssen auch 100.000 gef�rderte
  Sozialwohnungen sein, sonst werden wir das nicht hinbekommen, dass wir in <span
  class=GramE>irgend einer</span> Weise das Wohnungsnotproblem in den St�dten
  und den Orten wo viele hinziehen wollen, l�sen k�nnen.� [OS]<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=274 valign=top style='width:205.25pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>�I believe that we
  need to tackle two things at the same time: One is to build more apartments.
  In Germany, we have already managed to build 800,000 apartments in one year.
  That was in 1973, and now we will probably manage to build 400,000 apartments
  every year, which is 100,000 more than we are building now. And that must
  include 100,000 subsidized social housing units, otherwise we won't be able
  to solve the housing shortage problem in any way in the cities and places
  where many people want to move.� [OS]<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:12;mso-yfti-lastrow:yes'>
  <td width=75 valign=top style='width:56.45pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'>V290<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=255 valign=top style='width:191.4pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><span
  style='mso-bidi-font-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-ansi-language:DE'>�Liebe Zuschauerinnen und Zuschauer, Sie haben die
  Wahl. Schaffen wir einen echten Aufbruch oder verharren wir im weiter so.�
  [AB]<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=274 valign=top style='width:205.25pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal'><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>�Dear viewers, you
  have a choice. Do we create a real departure or do we persist in business as
  usual.� [AB]<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
</table>

<p class=MsoNormal><i style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-bidi-font-weight:
bold'>Note: AL = Armin Laschet; AB = Annalena Baerbock; OS = Olaf Scholz<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><i style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-bidi-font-weight:
bold'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst style='text-indent:-18.0pt;mso-list:l1 level1 lfo1'><![if !supportLists]><b><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><span style='mso-list:Ignore'>6.<span
style='font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span></b><![endif]><b><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>RF
Iteration predicting victory perception change away from <span class=GramE>Scholz</span><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle style='margin-left:0cm;mso-add-space:auto'><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Appendix Segment 6
presents the RF Iteration results predicting �change away from Scholz�. This is
done to demonstrate, that the setup can be reversed and still generates
additional useful information about what influenced participants with an �Olaf
Scholz pre-preference� to switch to other candidates. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle style='margin-left:0cm;mso-add-space:auto'><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast style='margin-left:0cm;mso-add-space:auto'><b><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Table A6 � Shift away
from Scholz<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<div style='mso-element:para-border-div;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt'><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;
mso-border-bottom-alt:.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif'><span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�</span></span><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'><span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>������������������������ </span>Sample size: 4613<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>##<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>����������� </span>Frequency of class labels: 3678, 935<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>##<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>��������������������� </span>Number of trees: 1250<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>##<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>����������� </span>Forest terminal node size: 1<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>##<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>������� </span>Average no. of terminal nodes: 162.1496<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>## No. of variables tried at each split: 250<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>##<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�������������� </span>Total no. of variables: 320<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>##<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>������� </span>Resampling used to grow trees: <span
class=SpellE>swor</span><o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre style='border:none;
mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;
mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:1.0pt;padding-top:
1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;mso-padding-bottom-alt:
1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:.5pt solid windowtext'><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>##<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>���� </span>Resample size used to grow trees: 2915<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>##<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>���������������������������� </span>Analysis: RF-C<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>##<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>������������������������������ </span>Family: class<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>##<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>���������������������� </span>Splitting rule: <span
class=SpellE>gini</span> *random*<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre style='border:
none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;
mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:1.0pt;padding-top:
1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;mso-padding-bottom-alt:
1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:.5pt solid windowtext'><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>##<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>������� </span>Number of random split points: 30<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>##<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>����� </span><span
class=GramE><span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>���</span>(</span>OOB) Normalized Brier score: 25.37709 <o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>##<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>������������ </span><span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>������������</span><span
class=GramE><span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>���</span>(</span>OOB) AUC: 96.11424 <o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>##<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>����������������� </span><span
class=GramE><span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>���</span>(</span>OOB) Error rate: 0.08801214, 0.06606852, 0.17433155<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>## <o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>## Confusion matrix:<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>## <o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>##<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>���������� </span>predicted<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>##<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�� </span>observed<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>��� </span>0<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�� </span>1 <span
class=SpellE><span class=GramE>class.error</span></span><o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
.5pt solid windowtext'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>##<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>��������� </span>0 3435 243<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>����� </span>0.0661<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
1.0pt 4.0pt 1.0pt 4.0pt;mso-border-between:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-padding-between:
1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt;padding-bottom:1.0pt;
mso-padding-bottom-alt:1.0pt;border-bottom:.5pt solid windowtext;mso-border-bottom-alt:
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mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>##<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>��������� </span><span
class=GramE>1<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>� </span>163</span> 772<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>����� </span>0.1743<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm;mso-padding-alt:
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mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>## <o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre
style='tab-stops:right 16.0cm;border:none;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
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mso-padding-between:1.0pt;padding-top:1.0pt;mso-padding-top-alt:1.0pt'><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>#<span class=GramE>#<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>� </span>Overall</span> (OOB) error rate: 8.801214%<span
style='mso-tab-count:1'>������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� </span><o:p></o:p></span></pre></div>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Figure A3 � ROCAUC of Switch away
from Scholz.<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-no-proof:yes'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape id="Bild_x0020_2" o:spid="_x0000_i1034"
 type="#_x0000_t75" style='width:453.75pt;height:324pt;visibility:visible;
 mso-wrap-style:square'>
 <v:imagedata src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image005.png"
  o:title=""/>
</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=605 height=432
src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image006.jpg"
v:shapes="Bild_x0020_2"><![endif]></span><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Table A7 � VIMs of Scholz switch away.<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<table class=MsoNormalTable border=0 cellpadding=0 align=left style='mso-cellspacing:
 1.5pt;mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-table-lspace:7.05pt;margin-left:4.8pt;
 mso-table-rspace:7.05pt;margin-right:4.8pt;mso-table-anchor-vertical:paragraph;
 mso-table-anchor-horizontal:margin;mso-table-left:left;mso-table-top:3.7pt'>
 <thead>
  <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes'>
   <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'></td>
   <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
   <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
   line-height:normal;mso-element:frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;
   mso-element-wrap:around;mso-element-anchor-vertical:paragraph;mso-element-anchor-horizontal:
   margin;mso-element-top:3.7pt;mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US
   style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>all</span><b><span
   style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
   "Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;
   mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
   </td>
   <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
   <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
   line-height:normal;mso-element:frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;
   mso-element-wrap:around;mso-element-anchor-vertical:paragraph;mso-element-anchor-horizontal:
   margin;mso-element-top:3.7pt;mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US
   style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0</span><b><span
   style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
   "Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;
   mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
   </td>
   <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
   <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
   line-height:normal;mso-element:frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;
   mso-element-wrap:around;mso-element-anchor-vertical:paragraph;mso-element-anchor-horizontal:
   margin;mso-element-top:3.7pt;mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US
   style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>1</span><b><span
   style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
   "Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;
   mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
   </td>
  </tr>
 </thead>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:1'>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;mso-element:
  frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;mso-element-wrap:around;mso-element-anchor-vertical:
  paragraph;mso-element-anchor-horizontal:margin;mso-element-top:3.7pt;
  mso-height-rule:exactly'><span class=SpellE><span class=GramE><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:
  text1'>pre.victor</span></span></span><span style='font-size:12.0pt;
  font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:
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  </td>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal;mso-element:frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;
  mso-element-wrap:around;mso-element-anchor-vertical:paragraph;mso-element-anchor-horizontal:
  margin;mso-element-top:3.7pt;mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.2416128</span><span
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
  "Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;
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  </td>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal;mso-element:frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;
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  margin;mso-element-top:3.7pt;mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.4308750</span><span
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
  "Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;
  mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal;mso-element:frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;
  mso-element-wrap:around;mso-element-anchor-vertical:paragraph;mso-element-anchor-horizontal:
  margin;mso-element-top:3.7pt;mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>1.5123066</span><span
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
  "Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;
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  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:2'>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;mso-element:
  frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;mso-element-wrap:around;mso-element-anchor-vertical:
  paragraph;mso-element-anchor-horizontal:margin;mso-element-top:3.7pt;
  mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>V207</span><span style='font-size:12.0pt;
  font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:
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  </td>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal;mso-element:frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;
  mso-element-wrap:around;mso-element-anchor-vertical:paragraph;mso-element-anchor-horizontal:
  margin;mso-element-top:3.7pt;mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0025811</span><span
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
  "Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;
  mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal;mso-element:frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;
  mso-element-wrap:around;mso-element-anchor-vertical:paragraph;mso-element-anchor-horizontal:
  margin;mso-element-top:3.7pt;mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0059362</span><span
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
  "Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;
  mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal;mso-element:frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;
  mso-element-wrap:around;mso-element-anchor-vertical:paragraph;mso-element-anchor-horizontal:
  margin;mso-element-top:3.7pt;mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0109080</span><span
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
  "Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;
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  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:3'>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;mso-element:
  frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;mso-element-wrap:around;mso-element-anchor-vertical:
  paragraph;mso-element-anchor-horizontal:margin;mso-element-top:3.7pt;
  mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>pre.chancellor.al</span><span
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
  "Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;
  mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal;mso-element:frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;
  mso-element-wrap:around;mso-element-anchor-vertical:paragraph;mso-element-anchor-horizontal:
  margin;mso-element-top:3.7pt;mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0005151</span><span
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
  "Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;
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  </td>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal;mso-element:frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;
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  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>-0.0007450</span><span
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
  "Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;
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  </td>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal;mso-element:frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;
  mso-element-wrap:around;mso-element-anchor-vertical:paragraph;mso-element-anchor-horizontal:
  margin;mso-element-top:3.7pt;mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0097684</span><span
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
  "Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;
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  </td>
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;mso-element:
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  mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
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  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0006799</span><span
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0003015</span><span
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0078380</span><span
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  "Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
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  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0002979</span><span
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  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0037445</span><span
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  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:6'>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0001315</span><span
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  </td>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
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  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
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  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:7'>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;mso-element:
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
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  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0005920</span><span
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  </td>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
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  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
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  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:8'>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  </td>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal;mso-element:frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;
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  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0003223</span><span
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
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  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
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  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:9'>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0004172</span><span
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:10'>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
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  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:11'>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;mso-element:
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  mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
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  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0003207</span><span
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
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  </td>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
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  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:12'>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;mso-element:
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  </td>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal;mso-element:frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;
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  margin;mso-element-top:3.7pt;mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0003152</span><span
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0006504</span><span
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
  "Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;
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  </td>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal;mso-element:frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;
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  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0016281</span><span
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
  "Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;
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  </td>
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 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:13'>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:14'>
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 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:15'>
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 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:16'>
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
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 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:17'>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
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  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
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 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:18'>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0003030</span><span
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
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  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:19'>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0002523</span><span
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
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  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
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  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:20;mso-yfti-lastrow:yes'>
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  <p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;mso-element:
  frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;mso-element-wrap:around;mso-element-anchor-vertical:
  paragraph;mso-element-anchor-horizontal:margin;mso-element-top:3.7pt;
  mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>V268</span><span style='font-size:12.0pt;
  font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:
  ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal;mso-element:frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;
  mso-element-wrap:around;mso-element-anchor-vertical:paragraph;mso-element-anchor-horizontal:
  margin;mso-element-top:3.7pt;mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0001086</span><span
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
  "Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;
  mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal;mso-element:frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;
  mso-element-wrap:around;mso-element-anchor-vertical:paragraph;mso-element-anchor-horizontal:
  margin;mso-element-top:3.7pt;mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0001360</span><span
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
  "Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;
  mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td valign=top style='padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=right style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:right;
  line-height:normal;mso-element:frame;mso-element-frame-hspace:7.05pt;
  mso-element-wrap:around;mso-element-anchor-vertical:paragraph;mso-element-anchor-horizontal:
  margin;mso-element-top:3.7pt;mso-height-rule:exactly'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0.0009071</span><span
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
  "Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;
  mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
</table>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>We see that
especially the debate moments V207, V204, and V282 determined if participants
changed their winner estimation away from Scholz during the debate. But also <span
class=SpellE>pre.age</span> and <span class=SpellE>pre.al.comp</span>
(Competence evaluation of Laschet) and <span class=SpellE>pre.ab.symp</span>
(Sympathy evaluation of Baerbock) affected strongly if participants changed winner
expectation from Scholz to another candidate in the course of the debate.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><b><span lang=EN-US
style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraph style='text-indent:-18.0pt;mso-list:l1 level1 lfo1'><a
name="_Hlk92287915"><![if !supportLists]><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:
12.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><span style='mso-list:Ignore'>7.<span
style='font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span></b><![endif]><b><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Additional Figures and Analysis<o:p></o:p></span></b></a></p>

<span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk92287915'></span>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>The pathway I is
visualized in figure A3, indicating the relationship between V17 and V244 for
shift to Scholz.</span><span class=MsoCommentReference><span lang=EN-US
style='font-size:8.0pt;line-height:150%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'> </span></span><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Only
few participants and most of them close to the threshold experienced a change
(figure A3). In additional tests we found that higher agreement was already
corresponding with a pre-debate winner expectation for Scholz, lower agreement
did not lead to change. Thus, we see positive cases of change clustering around
the threshold. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><b><span lang=EN-US
style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><b><span lang=EN-US
style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:150%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Figure A3. Pathway I: Combination of V17 and
V244<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-no-proof:yes'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape
 id="Grafik_x0020_11" o:spid="_x0000_i1033" type="#_x0000_t75" style='width:453.75pt;
 height:272.25pt;visibility:visible;mso-wrap-style:square'>
 <v:imagedata src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image007.png"
  o:title=""/>
</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=605 height=363
src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image008.jpg"
v:shapes="Grafik_x0020_11"><![endif]></span><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Another relationship
we visualized is between the combination of V157 and V288 for change to Laschet
in Figure A4. It shows the interaction of a policy related response and a
patriotic address. Again, we see a special high number of switching
participants close to the thresholds.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><b><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><b><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Figure
A4. Pathway H: Combination of V157 and V288<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-no-proof:yes'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape
 id="Grafik_x0020_9" o:spid="_x0000_i1032" type="#_x0000_t75" style='width:453.75pt;
 height:272.25pt;visibility:visible;mso-wrap-style:square'>
 <v:imagedata src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image009.png"
  o:title=""/>
</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=605 height=363
src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image010.jpg"
v:shapes="Grafik_x0020_9"><![endif]></span><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Most participants
with the RTR response pattern V157 &gt;= 0.5 &amp; V288 &gt;= 1.5 are already
expecting Laschet to win. Those who don�t are mainly expecting Olaf Scholz or a
draw in their <span class=SpellE><span class=GramE>pre.debate</span></span>
expectation and many of these participants are changing their expectation
during the debate.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><b><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Table
A8 � First 25 cases of Participants with the combination V157 &gt;= 0.5 &amp;
V288 &gt;= 1.5<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<table class=MsoNormalTable border=0 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0 width=725
 style='width:544.0pt;margin-left:-41.7pt;border-collapse:collapse;mso-yfti-tbllook:
 1184;mso-padding-alt:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt'>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'></td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>user_id</span></span><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:
  ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span class=GramE><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:
  ZH-CN'>pre.victor</span></span></span><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>victory.change.AL<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span class=GramE><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:
  ZH-CN'>no.change</span></span></span><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:1;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>10<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>Armin Laschet<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:2;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>Olaf Scholz<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:3;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>30<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>Armin Laschet<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:4;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>35<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>Armin Laschet<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:5;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>61<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>Armin Laschet<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:6;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>122<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>Armin Laschet<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:7;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>154<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>draw</span></span><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:
  ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:8;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>155<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>Armin Laschet<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:9;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>163<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>Armin Laschet<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:10;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>10<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>172<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>Armin Laschet<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:11;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>11<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>253<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>Olaf Scholz<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:12;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>12<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>355<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>draw</span></span><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:
  ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:13;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>13<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>368<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>draw</span></span><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:
  ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:14;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>14<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>400<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>Armin Laschet<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:15;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>15<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>454<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>Olaf Scholz<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:16;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>16<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>471<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>draw</span></span><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:
  ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:17;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>17<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>530<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>draw</span></span><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:
  ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:18;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>18<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>549<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>draw</span></span><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:
  ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:19;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>561<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>Armin Laschet<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:20;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>20<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>570<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>draw</span></span><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:
  ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:21;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>21<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>608<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>Armin Laschet<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:22;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>22<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>652<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>draw</span></span><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:
  ZH-CN'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:23;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>23<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>656<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>Armin Laschet<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:24;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>24<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>673<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>Olaf Scholz<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:25;mso-yfti-lastrow:yes;height:15.0pt'>
  <td width=80 nowrap style='width:60.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>25<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=119 nowrap style='width:89.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>675<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=184 nowrap style='width:138.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>no</span></span><span
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:
  ZH-CN'> <span class=SpellE>response</span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=171 nowrap style='width:128.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=172 nowrap style='width:129.0pt;padding:0cm 3.5pt 0cm 3.5pt;
  height:15.0pt'>
  <p class=MsoNormal align=center style='margin-bottom:0cm;text-align:center;
  line-height:normal'><span style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
  mso-ansi-language:DE;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
</table>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>�<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>First 25 of 214 participants<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraph style='text-indent:-18.0pt;mso-list:l1 level1 lfo1'><![if !supportLists]><b><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><span
style='mso-list:Ignore'>8.<span style='font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
</span></span></span></b><![endif]><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:
text1'>Robustness checks of RF and decision tree models<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>8.1<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>��
</span>Random Forest robustness checks<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>8.1.1 Random Forest Models predicting with
only pre-debate survey data:<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>We added these tests to determine if using
only pre-debate data generated competitively good results compared to the full
model. This would indicate that debate moment inclusion has only a marginal
effect on predictive accuracy. In this case we would have to concede that our Hypothesis
2 is not viable. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>We observe that pre-debate data in isolation
is better than using only RTR data for predictions (compare with table 8.1.2).
But the pre-debate data tests perform clearly worse than the full model
including pre-debate data and RTR data combined. H1 and H2 in combination seem
to be best for forecasts.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Shift to Annalena Baerbock<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-no-proof:yes'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape
 id="Grafik_x0020_3" o:spid="_x0000_i1031" type="#_x0000_t75" alt="Ein Bild, das Text enth�lt.&#10;&#10;Automatisch generierte Beschreibung"
 style='width:453.75pt;height:247.5pt;visibility:visible;mso-wrap-style:square'>
 <v:imagedata src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image011.png"
  o:title="Ein Bild, das Text enth�lt"/>
</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=605 height=330
src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image012.png"
alt="Ein Bild, das Text enth�lt.&#10;&#10;Automatisch generierte Beschreibung"
v:shapes="Grafik_x0020_3"><![endif]></span><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Shift to Armin Laschet<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-no-proof:yes'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape
 id="Grafik_x0020_8" o:spid="_x0000_i1030" type="#_x0000_t75" alt="Ein Bild, das Text enth�lt.&#10;&#10;Automatisch generierte Beschreibung"
 style='width:453.75pt;height:246.75pt;visibility:visible;mso-wrap-style:square'>
 <v:imagedata src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image013.png"
  o:title="Ein Bild, das Text enth�lt"/>
</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=605 height=329
src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image014.png"
alt="Ein Bild, das Text enth�lt.&#10;&#10;Automatisch generierte Beschreibung"
v:shapes="Grafik_x0020_8"><![endif]></span><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span class=GramE><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>8.1.2<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�
</span>Random</span></span><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'> Forest Models predicting with only RTR data<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>We added these tests to determine if using
only pre-debate data performs competitively good compared to the full model.
This would indicate that pre-debate data inclusion has only a marginal effect
on predictive accuracy. In this case we would have to concede that our Hypothesis
1 is not viable. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>We observe that RTR data in isolation is less
suitable for predictions than the pre-debate models (compare with table 8.1.1)
and the full models. The RTR data test perform clearly worse than the full
model including pre-debate data and RTR data combined. H1 and H2 in combination
seem to be best for forecasts.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Shift to Annalena Baerbock<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-no-proof:yes'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape
 id="Grafik_x0020_10" o:spid="_x0000_i1029" type="#_x0000_t75" alt="Ein Bild, das Text enth�lt.&#10;&#10;Automatisch generierte Beschreibung"
 style='width:453.75pt;height:243pt;visibility:visible;mso-wrap-style:square'>
 <v:imagedata src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image015.png"
  o:title="Ein Bild, das Text enth�lt"/>
</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=605 height=324
src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image016.png"
alt="Ein Bild, das Text enth�lt.&#10;&#10;Automatisch generierte Beschreibung"
v:shapes="Grafik_x0020_10"><![endif]></span><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Shift to Armin Laschet<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-no-proof:yes'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape
 id="Grafik_x0020_13" o:spid="_x0000_i1028" type="#_x0000_t75" alt="Ein Bild, das Text enth�lt.&#10;&#10;Automatisch generierte Beschreibung"
 style='width:453.75pt;height:245.25pt;visibility:visible;mso-wrap-style:square'>
 <v:imagedata src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image017.png"
  o:title="Ein Bild, das Text enth�lt"/>
</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=605 height=327
src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image018.png"
alt="Ein Bild, das Text enth�lt.&#10;&#10;Automatisch generierte Beschreibung"
v:shapes="Grafik_x0020_13"><![endif]></span><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span class=GramE><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>8.2<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�
</span>Decision</span></span><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'> Tree robustness checks<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Adding the full model decision trees to the
annex helps us to identify viable connections between pre-debate data and RTR
response effects. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Decision tree shift to Baerbock: Including
pre-debate data:<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
mso-no-proof:yes'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape id="Grafik_x0020_4" o:spid="_x0000_i1027"
 type="#_x0000_t75" alt="Ein Bild, das Text enth�lt.&#10;&#10;Automatisch generierte Beschreibung"
 style='width:392.25pt;height:285pt;visibility:visible;mso-wrap-style:square'>
 <v:imagedata src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image019.png"
  o:title="Ein Bild, das Text enth�lt"/>
</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=523 height=380
src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image020.jpg"
alt="Ein Bild, das Text enth�lt.&#10;&#10;Automatisch generierte Beschreibung"
v:shapes="Grafik_x0020_4"><![endif]></span><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Decision tree shift to Laschet: Including pre-debate
data:<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
mso-no-proof:yes'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape id="Grafik_x0020_6" o:spid="_x0000_i1026"
 type="#_x0000_t75" style='width:418.5pt;height:304.5pt;visibility:visible;
 mso-wrap-style:square'>
 <v:imagedata src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image021.png"
  o:title=""/>
</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=558 height=406
src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image022.jpg"
v:shapes="Grafik_x0020_6"><![endif]></span><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Decision tree shift to Scholz: Including
pre-debate data:<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
mso-no-proof:yes'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape id="Grafik_x0020_7" o:spid="_x0000_i1025"
 type="#_x0000_t75" style='width:454.5pt;height:330pt;visibility:visible;
 mso-wrap-style:square'>
 <v:imagedata src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image023.png"
  o:title=""/>
</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=606 height=440
src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image024.jpg"
v:shapes="Grafik_x0020_7"><![endif]></span><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst style='text-indent:-18.0pt;mso-list:l1 level1 lfo1'><![if !supportLists]><b><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><span
style='mso-list:Ignore'>9.<span style='font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
</span></span></span></b><![endif]><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;
line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:
text1'>Data Summaries<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Relationship of Pre-victor expectation, Party
identification and <span class=GramE>Post-victor</span> evaluation.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>More detailed summary statistics in our R
Script.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>9.1 Post-debate Participants evaluation:
Armin Laschet has won the debate. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<table class=MsoTableGrid border=1 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0
 style='margin-left:36.0pt;border-collapse:collapse;border:none;mso-border-alt:
 solid windowtext .5pt;mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-padding-alt:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span
  class=GramE><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>pre.debate</span></b></span></span><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'> expectation<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-left:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:
  solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><b><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;
  mso-themecolor:text1'>Number of participants<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:1'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Annalena Baerbock<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>25<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:2'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Armin Laschet <o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>638<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:3'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Olaf Scholz<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>153<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:4'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>draw<span
  style='mso-spacerun:yes'>� </span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>247<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:5;mso-yfti-lastrow:yes'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>No
  response<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>24<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
</table>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<table class=MsoTableGrid border=1 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0
 style='margin-left:36.0pt;border-collapse:collapse;border:none;mso-border-alt:
 solid windowtext .5pt;mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-padding-alt:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span
  class=GramE><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>post.debate</span></b></span></span><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'> evaluation<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-left:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:
  solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><b><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;
  mso-themecolor:text1'>Number of participants<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:1'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Annalena Baerbock<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:2'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Armin Laschet <o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>1087<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:3'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Olaf Scholz<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:4'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>draw<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:5;mso-yfti-lastrow:yes'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>No
  response<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
</table>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<table class=MsoTableGrid border=1 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0
 style='margin-left:36.0pt;border-collapse:collapse;border:none;mso-border-alt:
 solid windowtext .5pt;mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-padding-alt:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span
  class=GramE><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>pre.debate</span></b></span></span><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'> party id <o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-left:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:
  solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><b><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;
  mso-themecolor:text1'>Number of participants<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:1'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>CDU/CSU<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>731<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:2'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>FDP <o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>146<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:3'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>No party id<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>104<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:4'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span
  class=SpellE><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>AfD</span></span><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><span
  style='mso-spacerun:yes'>� </span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>39<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:5'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>SPD<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>24<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:6'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Green
  Party / B90<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>21<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:7'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Die
  Linke<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:8;mso-yfti-lastrow:yes'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>No
  response<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>20<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
</table>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>9.2 Post-debate Participants evaluation: Olaf
Scholz has won the debate.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<table class=MsoTableGrid border=1 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0
 style='margin-left:36.0pt;border-collapse:collapse;border:none;mso-border-alt:
 solid windowtext .5pt;mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-padding-alt:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span
  class=GramE><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>pre.debate</span></b></span></span><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'> expectation<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-left:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:
  solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><b><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;
  mso-themecolor:text1'>Number of participants<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:1'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Annalena Baerbock<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>89<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:2'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Armin Laschet <o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>12<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:3'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Olaf Scholz<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>740<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:4'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>draw<span
  style='mso-spacerun:yes'>� </span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>149<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:5;mso-yfti-lastrow:yes'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>No
  response<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>20<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
</table>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<table class=MsoTableGrid border=1 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0
 style='margin-left:36.0pt;border-collapse:collapse;border:none;mso-border-alt:
 solid windowtext .5pt;mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-padding-alt:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span
  class=GramE><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>post.debate</span></b></span></span><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'> evaluation<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-left:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:
  solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><b><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;
  mso-themecolor:text1'>Number of participants<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:1'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Annalena Baerbock<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:2'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Armin Laschet <o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:3'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Olaf Scholz<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>1010<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:4'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>draw<span
  style='mso-spacerun:yes'>� </span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:5;mso-yfti-lastrow:yes'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>No
  response<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
</table>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<table class=MsoTableGrid border=1 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0
 style='margin-left:36.0pt;border-collapse:collapse;border:none;mso-border-alt:
 solid windowtext .5pt;mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-padding-alt:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span
  class=GramE><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>pre.debate</span></b></span></span><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'> party id <o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-left:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:
  solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><b><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;
  mso-themecolor:text1'>Number of participants<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:1'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>CDU/CSU<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>92<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:2'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>FDP <o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>44<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:3'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>No party id<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>115<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:4'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span
  class=SpellE><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>AfD</span></span><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><span
  style='mso-spacerun:yes'>� </span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>13<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:5'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>SPD<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>434<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:6'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Green
  Party / B90<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>198<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:7'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Die
  Linke<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>84<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:8;mso-yfti-lastrow:yes'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>No
  response<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>30<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
</table>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>9.3 Participants with post-debate evaluation:
Annalena Baerbock has won the debate.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<table class=MsoTableGrid border=1 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0
 style='margin-left:36.0pt;border-collapse:collapse;border:none;mso-border-alt:
 solid windowtext .5pt;mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-padding-alt:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span
  class=GramE><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>pre.debate</span></b></span></span><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'> expectation<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-left:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:
  solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><b><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;
  mso-themecolor:text1'>Number of participants<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:1'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Annalena Baerbock<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>1045<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:2'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Armin Laschet <o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:3'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Olaf Scholz<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>660<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:4'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>draw<span
  style='mso-spacerun:yes'>� </span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>412<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:5;mso-yfti-lastrow:yes'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>No
  response<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>52<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
</table>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<table class=MsoTableGrid border=1 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0
 style='margin-left:36.0pt;border-collapse:collapse;border:none;mso-border-alt:
 solid windowtext .5pt;mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-padding-alt:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span
  class=GramE><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>post.debate</span></b></span></span><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'> evaluation<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-left:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:
  solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><b><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;
  mso-themecolor:text1'>Number of participants<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:1'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Annalena Baerbock<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>2188<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:2'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Armin Laschet <o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:3'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Olaf Scholz<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:4'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>draw<span
  style='mso-spacerun:yes'>� </span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:5;mso-yfti-lastrow:yes'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>No
  response<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
</table>

<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<table class=MsoTableGrid border=1 cellspacing=0 cellpadding=0
 style='margin-left:36.0pt;border-collapse:collapse;border:none;mso-border-alt:
 solid windowtext .5pt;mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-padding-alt:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><span
  class=GramE><b><span lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>pre.debate</span></b></span></span><b><span
  lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'> party id <o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-left:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:
  solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><b><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;
  mso-themecolor:text1'>Number of participants<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:1'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>CDU/CSU<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>110<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:2'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>FDP <o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>41<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:3'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>No party id<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>249<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:4'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span
  class=SpellE><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
  color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>AfD</span></span><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><span
  style='mso-spacerun:yes'>� </span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:5'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>SPD<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>259<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:6'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Green
  Party / B90<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>1187<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:7'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  border-top:none;mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal;tab-stops:25.5pt'><span lang=EN-US
  style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>Die
  Linke<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=185 valign=top style='width:138.7pt;border-top:none;border-left:
  none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
  mso-border-top-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;mso-border-left-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;
  mso-border-alt:solid windowtext .5pt;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt'>
  <p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast align=right style='margin:0cm;mso-add-space:
  auto;text-align:right;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
  "Times New Roman",serif;color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'>261<o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style='mso-yfti-irow:8;mso-yfti-lastrow:yes'>
  <td width=188 valign=top style='width:141.3pt;border:solid windowtext 1.0pt;
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<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<h1><a name="_Toc93498219"><span lang=EN-US style='mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:EN-US'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></a></h1>

<h1><span style='mso-bookmark:_Toc93498219'><span lang=EN-US style='mso-bidi-font-family:
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<h1><span style='mso-bookmark:_Toc93498219'><span lang=EN-US style='mso-bidi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:EN-US'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></span></h1>

<h1><span style='mso-bookmark:_Toc93498219'><span lang=EN-US style='mso-bidi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:EN-US'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></span></h1>

<h1><span style='mso-bookmark:_Toc93498219'><span lang=EN-US style='mso-bidi-font-family:
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<p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-bookmark:_Toc93498219'><span lang=EN-US><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></span></p>

<h1><span style='mso-bookmark:_Toc93498219'><span lang=EN-US style='mso-bidi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:EN-US'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></span></h1>

<h1><span style='mso-bookmark:_Toc93498219'><span lang=EN-US style='mso-bidi-font-family:
"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:EN-US'>10.
Measurement Instructions to the participants.</span></span><span lang=EN-US
style='mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
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<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-fareast-language:DE;mso-no-proof:
yes'><span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�</span></span><span lang=EN-US
style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
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<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
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<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=Listenabsatz1 style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:
4.0pt;margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:EN-US'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=Listenabsatz1 style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:
4.0pt;margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:EN-US'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=Listenabsatz1 style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:
4.0pt;margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:EN-US'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=Listenabsatz1 style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:
4.0pt;margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:EN-US'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=Listenabsatz1 style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:
4.0pt;margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:EN-US'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=Listenabsatz1 style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:
4.0pt;margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:EN-US'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=Listenabsatz1 style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:
4.0pt;margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:EN-US'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=Listenabsatz1 style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:
4.0pt;margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:EN-US'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=Listenabsatz1 style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:
4.0pt;margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:EN-US'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=Listenabsatz1 style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:
4.0pt;margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:EN-US'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=Listenabsatz1 style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:
4.0pt;margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:EN-US'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=Listenabsatz1 style='margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:
4.0pt;margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;line-height:normal'><span lang=EN-US
style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-ansi-language:EN-US'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;line-height:normal'><b
style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
mso-fareast-language:DE'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;line-height:normal'><b
style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
mso-fareast-language:DE'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;line-height:normal'><b
style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
mso-fareast-language:DE'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;line-height:normal'><b
style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
mso-fareast-language:DE'>Please note the following:<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<ul type=disc>
 <li class=MsoNormal style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-margin-top-alt:
     auto;margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;mso-list:l4 level1 lfo5'><span
     lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
     "Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:DE'>The <span class=SpellE>Debat</span>-O-Meter
     records your ratings exact to the second, which means one rating is
     recorded per second. <o:p></o:p></span></li>
 <li class=MsoNormal style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-margin-top-alt:
     auto;margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;mso-list:l4 level1 lfo5'><span
     lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
     "Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:DE'>Why you rate a person and what
     exactly you consider good or bad is left entirely to you. <o:p></o:p></span></li>
 <li class=MsoNormal style='color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;mso-margin-top-alt:
     auto;margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;mso-list:l4 level1 lfo5'><span
     lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
     "Times New Roman";mso-fareast-language:DE'>If no button is pressed, no data
     is transmitted, which will be interpreted as a �neutral� rating. <o:p></o:p></span></li>
</ul>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1;
mso-fareast-language:DE'>Please do not use the device when the host is
speaking.</span><span lang=EN-US style='mso-bidi-font-family:Calibri;
mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-latin;color:red'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='mso-bidi-font-family:Calibri;
mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-latin;color:red'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraph style='text-indent:-18.0pt;mso-list:l3 level1 lfo6'><![if !supportLists]><b><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><span style='mso-list:Ignore'>11.<span
style='font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'>&nbsp; </span></span></span></b><![endif]><b><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:12.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Additional
Information regarding the applied algorithms<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=MsoNormal><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraph style='text-indent:-18.0pt;mso-list:l2 level1 lfo4'><![if !supportLists]><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman"'><span style='mso-list:Ignore'>a)<span style='font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
</span></span></span><![endif]><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Decision
tree algorithm<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:6.0pt;line-height:150%'><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Decision Trees are
constructed by recursively selecting different features of the dataset for each
node in the decision tree and evaluating what feature leads to the best and
clearest split in the data in the target variable following this mathematical procedure:
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:6.0pt;line-height:150%'><i><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Suppose that we have a
scalar outcome, <span class=GramE>Y ,</span> and a p-vector of explanatory
variables, X. <o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:6.0pt;line-height:150%'><i><span
lang=FR style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:FR'>Assume
Y </span></i><i><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>&#1013;</span></i><i><span
lang=FR style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-ansi-language:FR'> K =
{1, 2, <span class=GramE>. . . ,</span> k}. </span></i><i><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>The subsets created by the splits
are called nodes. The subsets which are not split are called terminal nodes. <o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:6.0pt;line-height:150%'><i><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Each terminal nodes gets
assigned to one of the classes. So, if we had 3 <span class=GramE>classes</span>
we could get A<sub>1</sub> = X<sub>5</sub> </span></i><i><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Cambria Math"'>&#8746;</span></i><i><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'> X<sub>9</sub>, A<sub>2</sub>
= X<sub>6</sub> and A<sub>3</sub> = X<sub>7</sub> </span></i><i><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;mso-bidi-font-family:"Cambria Math"'>&#8746;</span></i><i><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'> X<sub>8</sub>. If we
are using the <span class=GramE>data</span> we assign the class most frequently
found in that subset of X.<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:6.0pt;line-height:150%'><i><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>A classification tree
partitions the X-space and provides a predicted value, according to <span
class=SpellE>arg</span> <span class=SpellE>max<sub>s</sub></span> <span
class=SpellE><span class=GramE>Pr</span></span><span class=GramE>(</span>Y = s
| X </span></i><i><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Cambria Math"'>&#8712;</span></i><i><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'> A<sub>k</sub>) in each region <o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:6.0pt;line-height:150%'><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>(<span class=SpellE>Breiman</span>
et al. 1984: 255-257).<i><o:p></o:p></i></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif'>For more details and a full technical explanation on
the algorithm of decision trees please consider the literature of <span
class=SpellE>Breiman</span> et al. 1984, James et al. 2013: 303, Hastie et al.
2009: 305. <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoListParagraph style='text-indent:-18.0pt;line-height:150%;
mso-list:l2 level1 lfo4'><![if !supportLists]><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><span
style='mso-list:Ignore'>b)<span style='font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
</span></span></span><![endif]><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Random
Forest regression tree / classification tree<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif'>Based on decision trees the RF Algorithm combines
randomized tree ensembles to create even better forecasts. The algorithm
applied is defined as: <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:150%'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif'><span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�</span>1. <i>For b = 1
to B:<o:p></o:p></i></span></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='text-indent:36.0pt;line-height:150%'><i><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>(a) Draw a bootstrap
sample Z</span></i><i><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
mso-bidi-font-family:"Cambria Math"'>&#8727;</span></i><i><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'> of size N from the training data.<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:36.0pt;line-height:150%'><i><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>(b) Grow a random-forest
tree T<sub>b</sub> to the bootstrapped data, by recursively repeating the
following steps for each terminal node of the tree, until the minimum node size
<span class=SpellE>n<sub>min</sub></span> is reached.<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><span class=SpellE><i><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>i</span></i></span><i><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>. Select m variables at
random from the p variables.<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><i><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>ii. Pick the best variable/split-point
among the m.<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><i><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>iii. Split the node into two
daughter nodes.<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none'><i><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none'><i><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>2.
Output the ensemble of trees </span></i><!--[if gte msEquation 12]><m:oMath><m:sSubSup><m:sSubSupPr><span
   style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;mso-ascii-font-family:"Cambria Math";
   mso-hansi-font-family:"Cambria Math";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
   font-style:italic'><m:ctrlPr></m:ctrlPr></span></m:sSubSupPr><m:e><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
   mso-fareast-font-family:CMSY10;mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><m:r>{</m:r></span></i><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
   mso-fareast-font-family:CMMI10;mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><m:r>T</m:r></span></i><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><sub><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:
   "Cambria Math",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:CMMI7;mso-bidi-font-family:
   "Times New Roman"'><m:r>b</m:r></span></sub></i><i style='mso-bidi-font-style:
   normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
   CMSY10;mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><m:r>}</m:r></span></i></m:e><m:sub><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
   mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><m:r>1</m:r></span></i></m:sub><m:sup><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
   mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><m:r>B</m:r></span></i></m:sup></m:sSubSup></m:oMath><![endif]--><![if !msEquation]><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:11.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;
mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-latin;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;position:relative;top:3.0pt;mso-text-raise:-3.0pt;
mso-font-kerning:0pt;mso-ligatures:none;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:
EN-US;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape id="_x0000_i1025"
 type="#_x0000_t75" style='width:27pt;height:14.25pt'>
 <v:imagedata src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image028.png"
  o:title="" chromakey="white"/>
</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=36 height=19
src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image029.png"
v:shapes="_x0000_i1025"><![endif]></span><![endif]><i><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>.</span></i><i><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:CMMI7'><o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><i><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><i><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>To make a prediction at a new point
</span></i><i><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:CMMI10'>x</span></i><i><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>:<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none'><i><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Regression:
</span></i><!--[if gte msEquation 12]><m:oMath><m:sSubSup><m:sSubSupPr><span
   style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;mso-ascii-font-family:"Cambria Math";
   mso-hansi-font-family:"Cambria Math";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
   mso-ansi-language:DE;font-style:italic'><m:ctrlPr></m:ctrlPr></span></m:sSubSupPr><m:e><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
   mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-ansi-language:DE'><m:r>f</m:r></span></i></m:e><m:sub><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
   mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-ansi-language:DE'><m:r>rf</m:r></span></i></m:sub><m:sup><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
   mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-ansi-language:DE'><m:r>B</m:r></span></i></m:sup></m:sSubSup></m:oMath><![endif]--><![if !msEquation]><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:11.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;
mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-latin;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;position:relative;top:5.5pt;mso-text-raise:-5.5pt;
mso-font-kerning:0pt;mso-ligatures:none;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:
EN-US;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape id="_x0000_i1025"
 type="#_x0000_t75" style='width:14.25pt;height:16.5pt'>
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  o:title="" chromakey="white"/>
</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=19 height=22
src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image031.png"
v:shapes="_x0000_i1025"><![endif]></span><![endif]><i><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�</span>(</span></i><i><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:CMMI10'>x</span></i><i><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>) = </span></i><!--[if gte msEquation 12]><m:oMath><m:f><m:fPr><span
   style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;mso-ascii-font-family:"Cambria Math";
   mso-hansi-font-family:"Cambria Math";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
   mso-ansi-language:DE;font-style:italic'><m:ctrlPr></m:ctrlPr></span></m:fPr><m:num><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
   mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><m:r>1</m:r></span></i></m:num><m:den><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
   mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-ansi-language:DE'><m:r>B</m:r></span></i></m:den></m:f></m:oMath><![endif]--><![if !msEquation]><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:11.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;
mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-latin;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;position:relative;top:6.0pt;mso-text-raise:-6.0pt;
mso-font-kerning:0pt;mso-ligatures:none;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:
EN-US;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape id="_x0000_i1025"
 type="#_x0000_t75" style='width:6pt;height:19.5pt'>
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  o:title="" chromakey="white"/>
</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=8 height=26
src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image033.png"
v:shapes="_x0000_i1025"><![endif]></span><![endif]><i><span style='font-family:
"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:DengXian;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-fareast'><span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�</span></span></i><!--[if gte msEquation 12]><m:oMath><m:sSubSup><m:sSubSupPr><span
   style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;mso-ascii-font-family:"Cambria Math";
   mso-fareast-font-family:DengXian;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;
   mso-hansi-font-family:"Cambria Math";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
   font-style:italic'><m:ctrlPr></m:ctrlPr></span></m:sSubSupPr><m:e><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
   mso-fareast-font-family:DengXian;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;
   mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><m:r>&#931;</m:r></span></i></m:e><m:sub><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
   mso-fareast-font-family:DengXian;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;
   mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><m:r>b</m:r><m:r>=1</m:r></span></i></m:sub><m:sup><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
   mso-fareast-font-family:DengXian;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;
   mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><m:r>B</m:r></span></i></m:sup></m:sSubSup></m:oMath><![endif]--><![if !msEquation]><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:11.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;
mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-latin;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;position:relative;top:4.0pt;mso-text-raise:-4.0pt;
mso-font-kerning:0pt;mso-ligatures:none;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:
EN-US;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape id="_x0000_i1025"
 type="#_x0000_t75" style='width:22.5pt;height:15pt'>
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  o:title="" chromakey="white"/>
</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=30 height=20
src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image035.png"
v:shapes="_x0000_i1025"><![endif]></span><![endif]><i><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:CMMI10'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�</span>T</span></i><i><sub><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:CMMI7'>b</span></sub></i><i><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
CMMI7'>(x)<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none'><i><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:0cm;line-height:normal;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none'><i><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>Classification:
Let </span></i><span class=SpellE><i><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;
mso-fareast-font-family:CMMI10'>C</span></i><i><sub><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:CMMI7'>b</span></sub></i></span><i><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>(</span></i><i><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
CMMI10'>x</span></i><i><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>)
be the class prediction of the </span></i><span class=SpellE><i><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
CMMI10'>b</span></i><i><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>th</span></i></span><i><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'> random-forest<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><i><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>tree. Then </span></i><!--[if gte msEquation 12]><m:oMath><m:sSubSup><m:sSubSupPr><span
   style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;mso-ascii-font-family:"Cambria Math";
   mso-hansi-font-family:"Cambria Math";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
   font-style:italic'><m:ctrlPr></m:ctrlPr></span></m:sSubSupPr><m:e><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
   mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><m:r>C</m:r></span></i></m:e><m:sub><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
   mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><m:r>rf</m:r></span></i></m:sub><m:sup><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
   mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><m:r>B</m:r></span></i></m:sup></m:sSubSup><m:d><m:dPr><span
   style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;mso-ascii-font-family:"Cambria Math";
   mso-hansi-font-family:"Cambria Math";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
   font-style:italic'><m:ctrlPr></m:ctrlPr></span></m:dPr><m:e><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
   mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><m:r>x</m:r></span></i></m:e></m:d><i
 style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
 mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><m:r>=</m:r><m:r>majority</m:r><m:r> </m:r><m:r>vote</m:r><m:r>
  {</m:r></span></i></m:oMath><![endif]--><![if !msEquation]><span lang=EN-US
style='font-size:11.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;
mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-latin;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;position:relative;top:5.5pt;mso-text-raise:-5.5pt;
mso-font-kerning:0pt;mso-ligatures:none;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:
EN-US;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape id="_x0000_i1025"
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</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=161 height=22
src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image037.png"
v:shapes="_x0000_i1025"><![endif]></span><![endif]><i><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:CMMI10'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>�</span>C</span></i><i><sub><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:CMMI7'>b</span></sub></i><i><span
lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif;mso-fareast-font-family:
CMMI7'>(x) </span></i><!--[if gte msEquation 12]><m:oMath><m:sSubSup><m:sSubSupPr><span
   style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;mso-ascii-font-family:"Cambria Math";
   mso-fareast-font-family:CMMI7;mso-hansi-font-family:"Cambria Math";
   mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";font-style:italic'><m:ctrlPr></m:ctrlPr></span></m:sSubSupPr><m:e><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
   mso-fareast-font-family:CMMI7;mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><m:r>}</m:r></span></i></m:e><m:sub><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
   mso-fareast-font-family:CMMI7;mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><m:r>1</m:r></span></i></m:sub><m:sup><i
   style='mso-bidi-font-style:normal'><span lang=EN-US style='font-family:"Cambria Math",serif;
   mso-fareast-font-family:CMMI7;mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><m:r>B</m:r></span></i></m:sup></m:sSubSup></m:oMath><![endif]--><![if !msEquation]><span
lang=EN-US style='font-size:11.0pt;line-height:107%;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;
mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;mso-fareast-theme-font:
minor-latin;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;position:relative;top:3.0pt;mso-text-raise:-3.0pt;
mso-font-kerning:0pt;mso-ligatures:none;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:
EN-US;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape id="_x0000_i1025"
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</v:shape><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img width=14 height=19
src="Online%20Supplementary%20Annex%20for%20How%20to%20convince%20in%20a%20televised%20debate-Dateien/image039.png"
v:shapes="_x0000_i1025"><![endif]></span><![endif]><i><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'><o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=MsoNormal style='line-height:normal'><i><span lang=EN-US
style='font-family:"Times New Roman",serif'>(Hastie et al. 2009: 588)<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

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